Video: IAF Hits Rocket Launchers

Amazing video from Israel's air force showing Hamas' rocket launchers being destroyed on the ground.



These primitive rockets, with no guidance abilities, are being launched wildly into Israeli towns. They are a classic terror weapon, like the buzz-bombs of the Luftwaffe.

Video: Johns Hopkins Mousetrap Car Slalom

Remember that mousetrap powered car project you had to do in high school physics class? At Johns Hopkins University, engineering freshmen have to go the next step and make a mousetrap car that does a slalom and then drives straight to the finish line. Video below, hat tip to If It's Got An Engine. When I was in school, none of my engineering professors were as cute as the one in the video.

GMAC Bank

I was looking around at who had the best CD rates in our ever-lower interest rate era, and I found that GMAC Bank has very nice rates, 4% for 1 year, compared with the average of 2%. I am planning on taking them up on it. 4% 12 month CDs are not growing on trees right now.

Now, before you shout that GMAC may go bankrupt, and eat my deposits, know that GMAC Bank is FDIC insured. So even if GMAC did go bankrupt, and GMAC Bank is a division of GMAC, FDIC would step in, and in a few days I would have my money back.

This is in contrast with the GMAC Demand Notes (5.25%) or Ford Motor Credit's Interest Advantage (3.9-4.2%), which are unsecured loans directly to the companies. If you are invested in GMAC Demand Notes or Ford Motor Credit Interest Advantage, you should re-evaluate your tolerance for financial risk right away, because I am guessing that you are investing money you consider "safe", but what you are buying is basically a junk bond.

And, by putting money in GMAC, I can help GM by providing badly needed cash to their lending arm, and helping support the Detroit auto industry.

There are some downsides to GMAC Bank. It are online-only, so if you want to be able to talk to a human being about your account, the only option is the telephone. It also doesn't support direct connection through Quicken or Microsoft Money, if you want to download transactions you have to use the manual download feature on your account page.

Note: GMAC did not sponsor this post or influence it in any way.

Windshield GPS MN

Did you know that it is against the law to mount accessories (such as GPS) to the windshield in Minnesota, and recently was in California?

Read here about Minnesota.

California law changes in January 2009 to allow GPS units, but they must be located at the lower left or lower right corner of the winshield.

In other news, Minnesota is considering a law to require Minnesotans to tie their shoes with double-knots, to prevent accidental tripping.

New Release, Offers, Business Ideas & More News From WorksForWeb

Hello!

We at WorksForWeb wish you a Merry Christmas and a happy New Year! We look forward to bringing you new products, functions and features and see your business prosper and grow because of that.

We have several great news. First, we are glad to announce the release of new versions of all our classified software: iAuto, iRealty, and iLister. We added new cool and exciting features, and made a few important fixes.

Special attention was paid to improving usability, enhancing script performance and implementing features most requested by current and potential users.

For additional information on features and fixes that are part of the new release please refer to the iAuto www.iautosoftware.com, iRealty www.irealtysoft.com and iLister www.ilistersoft.com websites, as well as to our official website at www.worksforweb.com. Alternatively, start an online chat when operators are available or send us an email to sales@worksforweb.com with your questions.

We are also happy to introduce another iLister mod, this time, iLister Career, a job board software. iLister Career employment/job classifieds software is the best tool to create your own SEO-friendly employment website. Recruiters and Career Builders are bound to find the best candidate for the job and the best job for every candidate respectively.

Completely customizable code and look and feel, awesome built-in WYSIWYG CMS, instant switch multi-language support, and a list of capabilities too long to display here – are you still looking?
Give it a try with a 15-day free trial and an online demo at http://www.ilistersoft.com/demo_jobs/!

During the upcoming winter holidays we will offer limited availability of our Sales and Support staff to address your issues. Particularly, our offices will be closed between 31 Dec 2008 and 5 Jan 2008.

However, we will be able to resolve support-related issues (the wait time may increase) and will have someone on duty to respond to sales inquiries process your orders. We apologize for the inconvenience this may be causing you and will try to minimize any impacts on you.

Last, but certainly not least. We are currently are almost finished with the limited time discount offer valid until Dec 31. To summarize, purchase a Standard Edition License of your choice (iRealty, iAuto or iLister) and get a Special Edition License of any WorksForWeb product as a holiday seasonal gift!

/OR /

Buy a Standard Edition with a 15% Christmas discount before 31 December! Use the following coupon code, HOTWINTER08, to claim your discount. Don't let this money-saving opportunity pass you by!

Happy holidays!

Yours,

The WFW Team

Star Wars Republic Commando On Vista

I recently bought Star Wars Republic Commando, a Lucas Arts squad based shooter. It wouldn't run on my machine ("SWRepublicCommando.exe has stopped working").

I got it running by doing two things: first, I set SWRepublicCommando.exe to run as administrator. Second, in the game, under the graphics settings, I set "bump-mapping" to low.

Interesting conferencs

Thre are are some conferences that might be of interest to me next year (2009).

The joint 8th Working IEEE/IFIP Conference on Software Architecture (WICSA) and the 3rd European Conference on Software Architecture (ECSA) is the the conference I know of aimed directly at my field of research, software architecture. I will try to submit a paper to it with some results of an interview study last year using the Architecture Business Cycle.

The International Conference on Software Engineering is the most prestigious general conference in my field, but none of the main tracks in 2009 are directly related to my research.

But there are two workshops at the conference that sound interesting: Leadership and Management in Software Architecture and Sharing and Reusing architectural Knowledge

Merry Christmas, and a happy New Year

Just a brief message to wish all of Tarmac's readers a great Christmas and as I'm unlikely to post again before January, a happy and productive new year.

Next year, I hope to offer you more regular posting, more discussion on cheap motoring and ecological and environmental motoring issues, many more motoring show reports, and even (if all goes well) the occasional relevant road tests.

I leave you in 2008 with one of my favourite static photographs of the year, and the closest I could get to an automotive Christmas tree...

Photograph ©Tarmac 2008

New Taurus Spy Photos

Autoblog has some good spy photo shots of a modestly camouflaged 2010 Taurus.
The interior looks nice, and looks like it has a lot in common with the MKS interior (notice the steep rake of the center stack). Also notice the Sony audio system.

Photos courtesy of Autoblog

See all pics here.

This is a crucial product for Ford, after the flabby sales (<100K annualized) of the current 500/Taurus. The Taurus should be Ford's flagship. It looks to me like it will be a contender, though we don't know what will be under the hood yet. Will it be the 3.5L V6 from the Edge and Flex, or will it be one of the GTDI engines, like the upcoming 3.5L Ecoboost?

It is also quite a bit more exciting to look at than its closest rival, the Toyota Avalon (yawwwwn).

BMW already uses AUTOSAR

I found an interesting article by mistake when checking if this blog would come up in a google search (no, it didn't).
The article is two years old, but I found it worthwhile to read anyway.
Anyway, the article Managing for software success is availible on the web, but unfortunately not through the Automotive Engineering International magazine's web site.

But on the I found another interesting article in the same magazine claiming that the new BMW 7-series already have two ECUs where "ECU software was developed using AUTOSAR". The article is based on an interview with well-known researcher on automotive software Dr. Manfred Broy.

Too bad that neither of these articles have gone through scientific peer review. It makes it so much easier if I wanted to have references to them in my research. But for a blog that really doesn't matter...

Complexity

Sooner or later the issue of complexity always comes up when discussing software architecture.

Since I firmly believe in my colleague Dennis Selin's statement that one of the main purposes of having an architecture is to manage complexity I am interested complexity as a concept. It does seem to be difficult to define complexity, more than "I know it when I see it".
However I have found a few articles on the subject I found worth reading. I welcome other suggestions.

• John A McDermid, Complexity: Concept, Causes and Control, in Proceedings of the 6th IEEE International Conference on Engineering of Complex Computer (ICECCS 2000), 2000.
• Murray Cantor, Understanding complexity, in The Rational Edge, 2007
• Mohsen AlSharif et al, Assessing the complexity of software architecture, in Proceedings of the 42nd annual ACM Southeast Regional Conference, 2004

PS. I will get back to other purposes of software architecture according to Dennis in a later post.

The Bridge Loan Terms

Here are the terms of the bridge loan announced by President Bush this morning.

Fact Sheet: Financing Assistance to Facilitate the Restructuring of Automobile Manufacturers to Attain Financial Viability

Purpose: The terms and conditions of the financing provided by the Treasury Department will facilitate restructuring of our domestic auto industry, prevent disorderly bankruptcies during a time of economic difficulty, and protect the taxpayer by ensuring that only financially viable firms receive financing.

Amount: Auto manufacturers will be provided with $13.4 B in short-term financing from the TARP, with an additional $4 B available in February, contingent upon drawing down the second tranche of TARP funds.

Viability Requirement: The firms must use these funds to become financially viable. Taxpayers will not be asked to provide financing for firms that do not become viable. If the firms have not attained viability by March 31, 2009, the loan will be called and all funds returned to the Treasury.

Definition of Viability: A firm will only be deemed viable if it has a positive net present value, taking into account all current and future costs, and can fully repay the government loan.

Binding Terms and Conditions: The binding terms and conditions established by the Treasury will mirror those that were voted favorably by a majority of both Houses of Congress, including:

• Firms must provide warrants for non-voting stock.
• Firms must accept limits on executive compensation and eliminate perks such as corporate jets.
• Debt owed to the government would be senior to other debts, to the extent permitted by law.
• Firms must allow the government to examine their books and records.
• Firms must report and the government has the power to block any large transactions (> $100 M).
• Firms must comply with applicable Federal fuel efficiency and emissions requirements.
• Firms must not issue new dividends while they owe government debt.

Targets: The terms and conditions established by Treasury will include additional targets that were the subject of Congressional negotiations but did not come to a vote, including:

• Reduce debts by 2/3 via a debt for equity exchange.
• Make one-half of VEBA payments in the form of stock.
• Eliminate the jobs bank.
• Work rules that are competitive with transplant auto manufacturers by 12/31/09.
• Wages that are competitive with those of transplant auto manufacturers by 12/31/09.

These terms and conditions would be non-binding in the sense that negotiations can deviate from the quantitative targets above, providing that the firm reports the reasons for these deviations and makes the business case to achieve long-term viability in spite of the deviations.

In addition, the firm will be required to conclude new agreements with its other major stakeholders, including dealers and suppliers, by March 31, 2009.

Note the inclusion of the UAW-busting requirements for competitive wages and work rules, but also note that these are negotiable! This means that when Obama and the more-Democrat congress are seated in 2009, they can soften the blow to the UAW, which I am sure they will try to do.

There is no explicit mention of a "Car Czar", but it would seem that someone would need to be in charge of over-seeing the agreement. It isn't clear if Paulson will be the man, or if another person will be appionted to 0versee the program.

President Bush Speech on TARP Loans

Recorded this morning by your auto blogger for your watching pleasure. See below for transcript.

THE PRESIDENT: Good morning. For years, America's automakers have faced serious challenges -- burdensome costs, a shrinking share of the market, and declining profits. In recent months, the global financial crisis has made these challenges even more severe. Now some U.S. auto executives say that their companies are nearing collapse -- and that the only way they can buy time to restructure is with help from the federal government. This is a difficult situation that involves fundamental questions about the proper role of government. On the one hand, government has a responsibility not to undermine the private enterprise system. On the other hand, government has a responsibility to safeguard the broader health and stability of our economy.

Addressing the challenges in the auto industry requires us to balance these two responsibilities. If we were to allow the free market to take its course now, it would almost certainly lead to disorderly bankruptcy and liquidation for the automakers. Under ordinary economic circumstances, I would say this is the price that failed companies must pay -- and I would not favor intervening to prevent the automakers from going out of business.

But these are not ordinary circumstances. In the midst of a financial crisis and a recession, allowing the U.S. auto industry to collapse is not a responsible course of action. The question is how we can best give it a chance to succeed. Some argue the wisest path is to allow the auto companies to reorganize through Chapter 11 provisions of our bankruptcy laws -- and provide federal loans to keep them operating while they try to restructure under the supervision of a bankruptcy court. But given the current state of the auto industry and the economy, Chapter 11 is unlikely to work for American automakers at this time.

American consumers understand why: If you hear that a car company is suddenly going into bankruptcy, you worry that parts and servicing will not be available, and you question the value of your warranty. And with consumers hesitant to buy new cars from struggling automakers, it would be more difficult for auto companies to recover.

Additionally, the financial crisis brought the auto companies to the brink of bankruptcy much faster than they could have anticipated -- and they have not made the legal and financial preparations necessary to carry out an orderly bankruptcy proceeding that could lead to a successful restructuring.

The convergence of these factors means there's too great a risk that bankruptcy now would lead to a disorderly liquidation of American auto companies. My economic advisors believe that such a collapse would deal an unacceptably painful blow to hardworking Americans far beyond the auto industry. It would worsen a weak job market and exacerbate the financial crisis. It could send our suffering economy into a deeper and longer recession. And it would leave the next President to confront the demise of a major American industry in his first days of office.

A more responsible option is to give the auto companies an incentive to restructure outside of bankruptcy -- and a brief window in which to do it. And that is why my administration worked with Congress on a bill to provide automakers with loans to stave off bankruptcy while they develop plans for viability. This legislation earned bipartisan support from majorities in both houses of Congress.

Unfortunately, despite extensive debate and agreement that we should prevent disorderly bankruptcies in the American auto industry, Congress was unable to get a bill to my desk before adjourning this year.

This means the only way to avoid a collapse of the U.S. auto industry is for the executive branch to step in. The American people want the auto companies to succeed, and so do I. So today, I'm announcing that the federal government will grant loans to auto companies under conditions similar to those Congress considered last week.

These loans will provide help in two ways. First, they will give automakers three months to put in place plans to restructure into viable companies -- which we believe they are capable of doing. Second, if restructuring cannot be accomplished outside of bankruptcy, the loans will provide time for companies to make the legal and financial preparations necessary for an orderly Chapter 11 process that offers a better prospect of long-term success -- and gives consumers confidence that they can continue to buy American cars.

Because Congress failed to make funds available for these loans, the plan I'm announcing today will be drawn from the financial rescue package Congress approved earlier this fall. The terms of the loans will require auto companies to demonstrate how they would become viable. They must pay back all their loans to the government, and show that their firms can earn a profit and achieve a positive net worth. This restructuring will require meaningful concessions from all involved in the auto industry -- management, labor unions, creditors, bondholders, dealers, and suppliers.

In particular, automakers must meet conditions that experts agree are necessary for long-term viability -- including putting their retirement plans on a sustainable footing, persuading bondholders to convert their debt into capital the companies need to address immediate financial shortfalls, and making their compensation competitive with foreign automakers who have major operations in the United States. If a company fails to come up with a viable plan by March 31st, it will be required to repay its federal loans.

The automakers and unions must understand what is at stake, and make hard decisions necessary to reform, These conditions send a clear message to everyone involved in the future of American automakers: The time to make the hard decisions to become viable is now -- or the only option will be bankruptcy.

The actions I'm announcing today represent a step that we wish were not necessary. But given the situation, it is the most effective and responsible way to address this challenge facing our nation. By giving the auto companies a chance to restructure, we will shield the American people from a harsh economic blow at a vulnerable time. And we will give American workers an opportunity to show the world once again they can meet challenges with ingenuity and determination, and bounce back from tough times, and emerge stronger than before.

Thank you.

ABB software Architecture Workshop

I visited the yearly ABB Software Architecture Workshop in Västerås on December 16. Very interesting with a good mix of people from industry and academia. I hope I'll get invited next year again.

One of the most interesting presentation, at least for me also working in automotive, was from Scania and how they worked with product line architectures. The approach they had to working with electrical architectures was quite different from Volvo Cars even though we are both working in the automotive sector. This only shows how important the business decisions and company culture are and the necessity to adapt the architecture in order for it to be successful in a company. Since Scania already had a product line approach for the mechanical parts of a truck it was very easy for them to have a similar approach in the electrical system

I held a short presentation about standardised software architecture in the automotive industry. It generated a lot of questions and discussions among the audience which I take as a good sign that my research will be of interest to others.
Here is my presentation available through Google documents:

Bush's Comments At AEI

President Bush gave an interview to the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank, today in which he revealed some of his thoughts about the automotive industry. If you want to read the whole thing (and you should), it is here.

MR. DeMUTH: You'll be surprised that I have several questions about the auto bailout. (Laughter.) Let me put it in the context of this discussion. Isn't the Detroit bailout an example of interest groups thinking they can get a better deal from the executive branch than from the Congress?

THE PRESIDENT: That's an interesting way of putting it. First, let me take a step back--I haven't made up my mind yet, So you're assuming something is going to happen. (Laughter.) This is a difficult time for a free market person. Under ordinary circumstances, failed entities--failing entities should be allowed to fail.

I have concluded these are not ordinary circumstances, for a lot of reasons. Our financial system is interwoven domestically, internationally. And we got to the point where if a major institution were to fail, there is great likelihood that there would be a ripple effect throughout the world, and the average person would be really hurt.

And what makes this issue difficult to explain is--to the average guy is, why should I be using my money because of excesses on Wall Street? And I understand that frustration. I completely understand why people are nervous about it. I was in the Roosevelt Room and Chairman Bernanke and Secretary Paulson, after a month of every weekend where they're calling, saying, we got to do this for AIG, or this for Fannie and Freddie, came in and said, the financial markets are completely frozen and if we don't do something about it, it is conceivable we will see a depression greater than the Great Depression.

So I analyzed that and decided I didn't want to be the President during a depression greater than the Great Depression, or the beginning of a depression greater than the Great Depression. So we moved, and moved hard. The autos obviously are very fragile and I've laid out a couple of principles. One, I am worried about a disorderly bankruptcy and what it would do to the psychology and the markets. They're beginning to thaw, but there's still a lot of uncertainty.
I'm also worried about putting good money after bad--that means whether or not these autos will become viable in the future. And frankly, there's one other consideration, and that is, I feel an obligation to my successor. I've thought about what it would be like for me to become President during this period. I have an--I believe that good policy is not to dump him a major catastrophe in his first day of office. So those are some of the considerations that we're weighing.

What was the question on autos? (Laughter.)

MR. DeMUTH: The President-elect said--

THE PRESIDENT: Oh, you said Congress and the executive branch.

MR. DeMUTH: Yes, yes.

THE PRESIDENT: Well, just remember a majority of Congress voted for a plan that we thought was a good plan. It didn't get the requisite votes in the Senate in order to move it on, but there was a majority vote if you add up the House and the Senate. So the Congress, in one way, expressed its will for a way forward with some--with a plan, or a strategy for viability.

MR. DeMUTH: But there must be some question in your mind whether the two political branches are better at bankruptcy restructuring than a bankruptcy court. I mean, we do have a law.

THE PRESIDENT: Absolutely.

MR. DeMUTH: Do you think when everybody stops--

THE PRESIDENT: I think under normal circumstances, no question the bankruptcy court is the best way to sort through credit and debt and restructuring, no question. These aren't normal circumstances, that's the problem. This is a hard issue for political people, because people never know how bad it could have been. And so the decisions you make are easy for people to say, why did he do that? Why is he wasting our money on this? Or, why is he doing that? Because without a catastrophe, the reasoning doesn't, it just doesn't really make it down to the grassroots.

People look at, "My money being used because Wall Street got excessive." And I make the case that I didn't want to do this. It's the last thing I wanted to do. Nevertheless, I felt compelled to do it, because it would make life worse for you. We lost 533,000 jobs last month. What would another million jobs lost do to the economy? What would that do to the psychology in markets? What would that do--how would that affect the working people? And so as you can tell, we're all in, in this administration. And if need be, we'll be in for more.

So, bottom line, "normally bankrupcy would be best, but now is not normal. I haven't made up my mind yet what to do".

Update:

Bush said basically the same thing this morning, when he announced loans from the TARP for GM and Chrysler.

IIHS Crashes Small Cars

The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, IIHS, is an insurance industry funded organization which does its own crash tests, in parallel to the NHTSA. IIHS' tests are more severe than NHTSA's, and are much harder for automakers to score well on.

For example, in the latest round of small car crash tests, the Chrysler PT Cruiser fared miserably in the IIHS side impact test, which uses a high barrier to simulate a mid-size SUV or pickup truck hitting a passenger car in the side. However, the PT Cruiser got a 4 star rating for side impact from NHTSA.

2008 Latest Edition - Did You Know 3.0 - From Meeting in Rome this Year

Ready to blow your mind?

This video is awesome. Who says the machines won't take over the world?

This is a really cool video full of all sorts of interesting facts that may just blow your mind away about what the future holds. There will be so much, much more, and it will all be different. Although based on statistics to form predictions, stats have long been used for this and is used in business all the time. Sure there may be a little give here and there, but even then the message is still astounding.

Top Gear Reviews Tesla, Breaks It

This is a hilarious segmeent from BBC's Top Gear show, in which Jeremy Clarkson evaluates a Tesla roadster, and breaks 2 of them. The first one overheats its motor, and has to be parked for a while, and the second one has a brake failure. Clarkson also reports that he only got 55 miles range out of the car.



This shows how difficult it really is to be in the car business and build a quality product--there are more ways for cars to break than they have parts. Even starting with an existing platform (Lotus Elise), the Tesla apparently isn't ready for mass market use.

WorksForWeb News

Hi there,

We at WorksForWeb are ready for the winter holidays and proud to announce our Hot Winter Offers: Heart-Warming Gifts and Money-Saving Discounts!

You can purchase a Standard Edition License of your choice (iRealty, iAuto or iLister) and get a Special Edition License of any WorksForWeb product as a Christmas gift or buy a Standard Edition with a 15% Christmas discount before 31 December!

We also have launched iLister-based Business Directory and iLister-Based Online Medical Equipment Catalog. With the iLister Business Directory script, you can create a classified business advertising service where businesses for sale, franchise opportunities, and business brokers and expose multiple business opportunities and resources to prospective buyers.

Read more on how to take advantage of becoming the best online resource to advertise businesses for sale in your region or worldwide with iLister Business Directory and Online Equipment Catalog at: http://www.ilistersoft.com/business.html, http://www.ilistersoft.com/solutions.html.

WorksForWeb have launched a new minor release of the iRealty v4.4.1/iAuto v4.3.1/iLister v4.3.1 software. Several bug fixes, a few improvements made in front and back
end, and great perfomance improvements are made.

We are also really glad to announce that the 'Expanding the Boundaries: Online Catalogs and Product Websites Based on iAuto/iRealty/iLister' competition is closed. We are really happy to congratulate our winners! More info about the contest please find at: http://www.worksforweb.com/contests/.

So, don't you think we are really ready for the winter holidays? ;)

2Wire Gateway Problems

Ugh.

The last few weeks, my 2wire DSL gateway (model 2701) has been behaving very badly. I can run wired all day long, no problem, but if I used 802.11b or 802.11g connections, the gateway actually drops the DSL link at random intervals. Sometimes it will run a few minutes, sometimes it will only run a few seconds.

I have googled until my eyes are dry looking for solutions, but so far, nothing concrete. Lots of people report the same sort of problem, and the only answer I can seem to find is "use a different router".

Anyone out there have the same issue?

If I find something, I'll post it here.

Update


I have determined that the problem is with the 2wire gateway. If I use a Linksys router and turn off the wi-fi on the 2701, I have no problems, and no dropped access. My 2wire box must have an issue with running 802.11b/g and DSL.

I spoke to AT&T (India) which forwarded me to 2Wire (Phillipines). 2Wire indicated that they could not find anything wrong with my gateway. I asked them if they could arrange a replacement, and they said they normally would--but since I bought my unit second hand, the warranty does not transfer.

My solution is to use the DSL modem part of the box only, and use a separate Linksys wireless router for the wi-fi. So far so good.

So be warned, 2wire won't honor their warranties unless it is original installed equipment!

NEC Motorcycle Show 2008

After visiting the British Motor Show earlier this year, an opportunity to pop along to the Motorcycle Show at the NEC wasn't to be missed. What was new in the world of motorcycling?

Bike shows are quite a departure from car shows. The crowds walking the halls are altogether more knowledgeable and tend to be enthusiastic about the subject, wheras car shows appeal more to the "day out" people who aren't necessarily car enthusiasts but go to the motor show each year with their kids for something to do. As such, the bike show is less publicised and a bit more "rough and ready" when you're there, with smaller stands, fewer manufacturers and less of a wow factor. For this reason, it's always good to have some interesting concepts or significant releases to make people feel like their day stalking the halls has been worthwhile.


All the main manufacturers had their full range on display. Kawasaki attracted the crowds to their new Ninja and a selection of their racing bikes with an array of attractive ladies in tight-fitting clothes, and Ducati attracted the crowds by painting their bikes bright red and by generally having a desirable line-up of bikes. Of particular note was the Desmosedici, which though not winning a MotoGP riders' title this year is still a gorgeous and brutally fast bike in road trim. If you don't need to travel quite so quickly, the latest version of Ducati's stalwart, the Monster, was on display, and for those who like to provide their own power, you can choose from a suspiciously expensive-looking mountain bike or racing bike which probably retail for the same price as the Monster.

There were other Italian marques at the show, notably Benelli with their striking Tornado sports bike, and for younger riders (or the young at heart) Cagiva was showing their new-to-the-UK Mito SP525, which contrary to the name is an updated version of their popular Mito 125. The diminutive machine remains a two stroke, and takes styling cues from the Desmosedici. With Aprilia missing, the Mito was holding it's own amongst a sea of 125cc four-strokes.

Of said four-strokes, Yamaha were displaying their YZF-R125 which had been introduced at the show last year. They're already starting to appear on the roads in increasing numbers, which suggests that even in credit-crunch Britain people can't resist the hottest little bike on the market. In desirability, Honda's CBR125 just can't compete any more, though it does still offer an attractive proposition for smaller riders, especially with the disappearance of the CG125. The evergreen CG has been quietly replaced with the CBF125, both more modern and larger, and as such Honda's cheapest 125cc bike no longer appeals to this reporter. It's a pity the CG wasn't able to continue in the range with modifications to bring it within EURO-3 emissions regulations, but the new CBF is still a worthy beginner bike. It costs less than £2,000, it's not over-complicated, it's clean, and capable of significantly more than 100mpg.

Much more appealing in Honda's line-up is the Zoomer. In a sea of noisy, badly-ridden, plastic-covered mopeds, the four-stroke Zoomer stands out a mile with its quiet engine, fat tyres and tube-frame chassis. That you don't see many on the roads is probably testament to the £2,000+ price tag, which gets you a perfectly respectable 125, but there isn't a 125 commuter or 50cc scooter in existance that's as cool as the Zoomer. Yamaha does get close with their retro-styled Giggle, which is available this year in olive/white and blue/white combinations.

Honda had their futuristic DN-01 at ground level this year to try out for size, and the styling still appeals, though I did hear other show-goers expressing their disapproval. Honda also had their genuinely futuristic V4 concept on display, which is more a clue towards future styling than anything else given that the wheels were seamless with the bodywork. Honda have a survey on their site to gauge opinion on the study.

As for the rest of the show, little stood out. Royal Enfield had a good stand, with several Bullet Electra and Classic models. It's a range that really appeals for the more sedate aspects of motorcycling. The bikes are cheap, economical and have what could be described as adequate performance, allowing you to enjoy the open road without necessarily aiming for apexes and travelling at great speed. Custom bikes seemed to be popular this year, and they appeal for similar reasons, as well as some impressive engineering and paint jobs. KTM, Triumph, Harley Davidson and Eagle all had some interesting bikes, Eagle in particular drawing the crowds with some enormous cruisers and custom specials.

As I mentioned earlier, shows that lack the wow factor really need something else to make you feel like your day, and your £17 plus £8 for parking, has been worthwhile. The 2008 NEC Bike Show was a good day out, but compared to the impressive venue and £10 of the British Motor Show earlier this year, there is still a long way to go.

More photographs below. All photographs ©Tarmac 2008

Call The White House

It is not surprising that when presented with a length of rope by the Senate Republicans, the UAW chose not to hang itself.

There isn't much else we can do. I urge everyone to cares about the U.S. auto industry, its suppliers, and the broad economy in general to contact President Bush right away and ask him to save GM and Chrysler, at least until Obama can get into office and take up the task.

Ronald Reagan saved Harley Davidson. I hope Bush isn't remembered as the president that killed GM.

White House telephone: 202-456-1414
White House email: president@whitehouse.gov

A Little Machiavelli?

The situation with the Republicans being ready to trash the domestic auto industry reminded me of something I read when I was in college and a lot smarter than I am now.

From The Prince, Chapter 8 (Project Gutenberg):

Hence it is to be remarked that, in seizing a state, the usurper ought
to examine closely into all those injuries which it is necessary for him
to inflict, and to do them all at one stroke so as not to have to repeat
them daily; and thus by not unsettling men he will be able to reassure
them, and win them to himself by benefits. He who does otherwise, either
from timidity or evil advice, is always compelled to keep the knife
in his hand; neither can he rely on his subjects, nor can they attach
themselves to him, owing to their continued and repeated wrongs. For
injuries ought to be done all at one time, so that, being tasted less,
they offend less; benefits ought to be given little by little, so that
the flavour of them may last longer.

Or, restated somewhat, if you must do something ugly to the people, do it quickly all at once, get it over with, so that you can start rebuilding your reputation over time by doing beneficial things gradually.

So if you are a Republican and you just lost a big election, now is the time to do damage and break things you want broken, because you have a few years before your next chance at power.

Maybe Dead...

Senator Shelby (R-AL) and 4 others have threatened to filibuster the bridge loan bill. There are 49 Republican senators, and 51 Democrat/Independents. But of the 51, 3 are off duty: Biden, Clinton, and Obama. It isn't clear if the Democrats have enough support to get cloture, so there is a good chance that the Southern Republicans will get their wish--Chapter 11 for GM and Chrysler.

Here's the video: CNBC

The Southern Republicans are determined to bust the UAW. Here is the outline of their plan. An excerpt (red text is my emphasis):

What We Should Be Doing: The American Automotive Reorganization and Recovery Plan

Hard Benchmarks:

On December 2, the Big Three presented to Congress their plans for restructuring. While the plans included laudable goals, too few details were provided ...

The Big Three must lock in the restructuring they have promised in a matter of weeks, not months or years. Congress should instead establish firm benchmarks and a tight timeline for restructuring. Such benchmarks will include for example requiring that by March 31, 2009 each company should reach agreement whereby:

•The companies’ creditors agree to a framework to reduce each company’s indebtedness by at least 1/3.

•The UAW holds to concessions already made and further:
o Concedes the elimination of Supplemental Unemployment Benefits;
o Concedes elimination of the Jobs Bank Program;
o Agrees to either reduce company retiree health care obligations or otherwise convert a portion of such obligations into equity; and
o Agrees to reduce wages and benefits to the levels paid by non-Big Three manufacturers.

A Process for Reaching Expedited Agreement, Instead of Nationalizing America’s Auto Companies

Because of the many legal and contractual hurdles to restructuring, the companies are urged to accomplish their restructuring through the use of a pre-packaged bankruptcy or another mechanism to bring all stakeholders to the table for an agreed-upon determination of their future. It is important that these stakeholders reach reasonable compromises amongst themselves. Creating a government bureaucracy or a “car czar” to arbitrarily pass judgment on the thousands of details involved with a restructuring is akin to nationalizing the auto companies.

Interim Financing: Insurance, Rather than a Taxpayer-Funded Bailout

The Big Three may need some form of interim financing as they finalize their restructuring. In normal economic times, if their restructuring plan is considered viable, such financing should be available in the private market. Because of the current credit crisis, limited assistance may be appropriate in the form of insurance, rather than a taxpayer-funded government bailout that replaces private investment. We propose that the government provide insurance, funded by the participants with a modest FDIC-like fee, which would cover up to 50 percent of the losses of new investment in the case of default, helping to unlock immediate private investment (not unlike debtor in possession financing). Such insurance would expire on March 31, 2009. This proposal ensures that taxpayers are protected and provides a powerful incentive for the Big Three to quickly implement their restructuring plans.

So they are basically saying, 1) break the UAW, and 2) soak the creditors, while offering a 50% insurance policy against default to try to attract private investment.

It's the "private investment" part that worries me.

Not. Dead. Yet.

Thousands of people in the metro Detroit area are breathing a cautious sigh of relief this weekend, after news broke that Congress and the Bush Administration are negotiating a compromise measure to give a loan to GM and Chrysler to keep operating until the Obama administration is seated.

The whole mass has been a fascinating, and depressing political show. I listened to a few hours of the hearings over the last few days, and pompous arrogance of some of the members of Congress was infuriating. Even the sympathetic members, such as Chris Dodd (D-CT) offered ridiculous and unhelpful advice, such as suggesting with a straight face that maybe the Detroit 3 could retool their plants to build mass transit products such as busses and rail cars. "The truck and SUV plants you are closing... these have pretty long wheel bases, don't they?" said Dodd, who apparently acquired a manufacturing engineering degree somewhere, secretly.

Then came the spectacle of Maxine Waters (D-CA) complaining that dealers, specifically small dealers, specifically, minority dealers, were being hurt by all the cuts, and inquiring what the Detroit 3 were planning to do to protect the dealers. This at a time when many commentators, and many other members of Congress correctly realize that having too many dealers their hurts profitability, and reduces the efficiency of the service and distribution divisions.

But the most delicious part of the political battle, for me, was the brawl between Bush and the Democrats on where to take the loan money from. Bush said from the beginning that the financial bailout money ($350 Billion now, $350 Billion later, maybe) was for protecting the financial system, and that Congress should rewrite the Advanced Technology Manufacturer Vehicle Assistance Program (aka "section 136") law to allow that money to be used for bridge loans. The Democrats wanted Bush to use money from the financial bailout money, and to save the ATVM loan program for fuel economy retooling.

Bush stuck to his guns (he is very good at it) and forced the Democrats to make a painful choice: do nothing, and throw the UAW under the bus, or cave, and anger the Greenies. From the Detroit Free Press:

A breakthrough on the long-stalled rescue came when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi yielded to President George W. Bush on a key point: allowing the aid to be drawn from a fund set aside for the production of environmentally friendlier cars.

And, at the 11th hour, the Democrats wisely decided it was the Greens who should be thrown under the bus.

May it always be so.

Introduction to software architecture research

I got an e-mail form one of the master's student at the Software Engineering & Management program who wanted to know more about research on software architecture. Here is my reply...

Some websites of interest:

http://www.sei.cmu.edu/architecture/index.html
The homepage of the most well-known research groups on software architecture. You can for example look at their "essential bookshelf":
http://www.sei.cmu.edu/architecture/essential_collection.html

http://www.handbookofsoftwarearchitecture.com/
Grady Booch's (of UML fame) website about architecture. You need to register to access the entire website.

http://www.janbosch.com/
Jan Bosch' website, one of the foremost researchers in Europe. Check out his publication list. He has written several "overview" articles as well.

You should also be familiar with ISO/IEC-standard 42010 "Recommended Practice for Architectural Description of Software-intensive Systems" (identical to IEEE Std 1471-2000)

http://www.amazon.com/Software-Architecture-Practice-2nd-Engineering/dp/0321154959
This is the standard textbook about software architecture. If you want an undergraduate text I would recommend
http://www.amazon.com/Software-Architecture-Primer-John-Reekie/dp/0646458418/ref=pd_sim_b_6

http://www.amazon.com/Documenting-Software-Architectures-Beyond-Engineering/dp/0201703726
The best (and only?) book about documenting software architectures

http://www.amazon.com/Design-Patterns-Object-Oriented-Addison-Wesley/Professional/dp/0201633612
For an architect I would recommend the following book instead:
http://www.amazon.com/Pattern-Oriented-Software-Architecture-System-Patterns/dp/0471958697/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1228480692&sr=1-1
There are 5 volumes, but the book everybody refers to is vol. 1

For software product lines I'm most familiar with
http://www.amazon.com/Design-Use-Software-Architectures-Product-Line/dp/0201674947/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1228480867&sr=1-1
and
http://www.amazon.com/Software-Architecture-Product-Families-Principles/dp/0201699672/ref=cm_lmf_tit_8_rdssss0

But there seem to be recent texts, such as:
http://www.amazon.com/Software-Product-Lines-Practices-Engineering/dp/0201703327/ref=pd_sim_b_2
and
http://www.amazon.com/Software-Product-Lines-Action-Engineering/dp/3540714367/ref=pd_cp_b_1?pf_rd_p=413864201&pf_rd_s=center-41&pf_rd_t=201&pf_rd_i=3540243720&pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&pf_rd_r=1KC7RGT8ZATZCWGSE3MM

Hope this helps!

Bike hire hits London in 2010

Following the lead taken by cities like Paris and Barcelona, Transport for London has revealed plans for introducing a cycle hire scheme. The move is being used as a way of promoting healthy and environmentally friendly transport, and alleviating congestion both on roads and on the tube.

TfL plan to introduce 400 cycle stations with 10,500 docking points, and 6,000 bicycles up for hire. The high number of docking points should allow users to drop their bike off pretty much anywhere they like, and the scheme is aimed not just at residents and commuters, but also for the millions of tourists who visit the capital every year. A small poll on the TfL site reveals that commuting will still be the most popular single use for the bikes, but currently almost half the respondents will use the bikes for multiple activities.

I wouldn't normally cover non-car related stories on Tarmac, but as I'm soon to be a bicycle user myself, the news is particularly significant. Although I'm not a resident of London, the potential success of the scheme could open the floodgates for other cities around the country to launch similar initiatives, which would be great news. This is the sort of positive action councils should be taking in order to encourage people onto other methods of transport, rather than simply trying to discourage them from driving, as methods like congestion charging do.

The action in London is also a positive step to reducing congestion and emissions under their new mayor. After the huge legal battle previous Mayor Ken Livingstone has recently lost against Porsche, the sports car maker has donated the £375,000 payout to charity. Porsche argued that the proposed £25 a day charge was disproportionate and unfair, and were even able to prove that it would result in increased emissions in the capital. Maybe the cycle scheme should use Porsche bikes?...

The Mighty Lincoln Towncar!

I was reading Autoblog's nice summary (here) of the November sales results, and I noticed that Lincoln did surprisingly well compared to the other luxury brands. Lincoln's sales declined only 8%. By comparison, Lexus lost 35%. The only brand to have a smaller decline was Subaru.

So I went and looked at Ford's sales number details for Lincoln, on Ford's media web site.

(Click for full size image)

Lincoln did well because of two models: MKS and, of all things, Towncar. MKS came out of the gate strong, becoming Linoln's best selling vehicle, better even than the cheaper MKZ. And somehow, Ford managed to sell 200% more Towncars than a year ago. In fact, if Towncar had sold the same as last year, Lincoln's sales numbers would be down 20% instead of 8%!

Towncar had better year-over-year results than Subaru Forester (+63%) or BMW's Mini (+43%). I didn't take the time to dig through the other car maker's sales numbers, but I am willing to bet that no single model had a better year-over-year result than Towncar.

I wonder what Ford did to sell them like that... BOGO?

The Demise of Pontiac and Saturn

Update: I have a more recent post on this subject here.

The pundits were predicting that GM would have no choice but to plan to cut brands, and so it wasn't a surprise that they announced, effectively, the end of Pontiac and Saturn. We don't know what a "niche brand" Pontiac will look like, but it might be limited to roadsters and Australian transplants.

Saturn is probably just dead, because there isn't much there to sell. When Saturns were assembled at their own plant, it may have worked, but now that they are variants of other GM models, built in shared plants with shared parts, it doesn't seem like there is much to sell. "Strategic options" seems to me like it means that Saturn will be put down like Oldsmobile.

I wrote 3 years ago that GM should kill Pontiac and keep Buick, you can read the earlier post here. And GM did some things to improve Pontiac, by bringing out the audacious Solstice, and the G8, and the upcoming Sport Truck. But they also shot themselves in the foot with such decidedly unexciting vehicles as the G3, G5, and Torrent. The G6 is a handsome car that just needs some sportier tuning, in my opinion. The Vibe has the same problem--it is a decent car, very practical, but not very exciting to drive.

Saturn is unfortunate, because GM worked very hard to give them a sharp, well defined character and fresh products. The Aura won NA Car of the Year with its sharp looks and much improved interior. The Astra, a Euro transplant, is also a sharp car with good handling. But somehow, the brand just couldn't take off.

I hope GM recycle's the Saturn dealer network, because they are what gave Saturn half a chance to begin with. I shopped for one once, and I liked how I was treated.